YAyarg·May 27, 2023
It might be worth generating a version that excludes Russia and Ukraine.
https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-the-economist-globa...
In Our model suggests that global deaths remain 5% above pre-Covid forecastsTheEconomist
covid-19-the-economist-global-excess-deaths-model
R2021–2023
TheEconomist / covid-19-the-economist-global-excess-deaths-model
covid-19-the-economist-global-excess-deaths-model
The Economist's model to estimate excess deaths to the covid-19 pandemic
4Distinct people
4Mentions
0Explicit recommenders
457GitHub stars
What to know before exploring
What it is
The Economist's model to estimate excess deaths to the covid-19 pandemic
GitHub
Where it is used
No documented product use has been verified yet.
What people are saying
No recommendation phrase was found in the indexed comments.
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Also in these discussions
No other repository is repeatedly linked in the same discussions.
This week on Hacker News
Nov 8–Nov 15 UTC · Direct repository links and separately labeled related project stories. Indexed through 11/15/2026, 10:02:05 AM UTC.
No direct repository links were found in the indexed HN discussions over the past seven days. Older discussions are available below.
Mentions over time
HN mentions by month4 dated mentions
Observed mentions: 2021-05-25 13:25:30 UTC to 2023-05-27 20:15:50 UTC.
Counts come from the repository’s dated source evidence. Index cutoff: 2026-11-02 08:16:59 UTC.
View mention counts and date ranges
| Period | Start (UTC) | End (exclusive, UTC) | Mentions | Submissions | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2021 | 2021-05-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-06-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jun 2021 | 2021-06-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-07-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2021 | 2021-07-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-08-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 2021 | 2021-08-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-09-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2021 | 2021-09-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-10-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2021 | 2021-10-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-11-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2021 | 2021-11-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2021-12-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 2021 | 2021-12-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-01-01 00:00:00 UTC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jan 2022 | 2022-01-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-02-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 2022 | 2022-02-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-03-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2022 | 2022-03-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-04-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2022 | 2022-04-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-05-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2022 | 2022-05-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-06-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2022 | 2022-06-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-07-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2022 | 2022-07-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-08-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 2022 | 2022-08-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-09-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2022 | 2022-09-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-10-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2022 | 2022-10-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-11-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2022 | 2022-11-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2022-12-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 2022 | 2022-12-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-01-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 2023 | 2023-01-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-02-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 2023 | 2023-02-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-03-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2023 | 2023-03-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-04-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2023 | 2023-04-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 00:00:00 UTC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2023 | 2023-05-01 00:00:00 UTC | 2023-06-01 00:00:00 UTC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
What Hacker News says
4 sourcesIt has nothing to do with PCR tests. The Economist based their estimate on a ML analysis based on excess mortality estimates.
[0] https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-the-economist-globa...
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid
In India defuses its population bomb: fertility falls to two children per womanSo, I'm not an R guy, but I pawed through some of the code. I get what you're saying, there's an environment, it needs to be just so, or it won't work. that's fine. And yeah, it does feel a lot like SQL.
I would point out this guy - https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-the-economist-globa...
that sort of has the look of something that took a pass or two to get right. And I think, would be nice to have a test case (sample call).
Again, not a hill I'm going to die on.
Overall, I don't think we have a big difference of opinion, yeah, it looks like gluing together libraries - as a non, native R speaker, I think I can make sense of the project, it's cool they put it out there, and I don't think there's anything _wrong_ with what they've got.
In The Economist's excess deaths modelThe Economist's excess deaths model
243 points · Open discussion