RDrdli·Sep 26, 2023
As others have pointed out, Prophet is not a particularly good model for forecasting, and has been superseded by a multitude of other models. If you want to do time series forecasting, I'd recommend using Darts: https://github.com/unit8co/darts. Darts implements a wide range of models and is fairly easy to use.
The problem with time series forecasting in general is that they make a lot of assumptions on the shape of your data, and you'll find you're spending a lot of time figuring out mutating your data. For example, they expect that your data comes at a very regular interval. This is fine if it's, say, the data from a weather station. This doesn't work well in clinical settings (imagine a patient admitted into the ER -- there is a burst of data, followed by no data).
That said, there's some interesting stuff out there that I've been expe
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rimenting with that seems to be more tolerant of irregular time series and can be quite useful. If you're interested in exchanging ideas, drop me a line (email in my profile).